Autor(es): Patricio Navia
Otro(a)s Autore(a)s: Lucas Perelló y Patricio Navia
Año: 2023
Revista: Bulletin of Latin American Research
Referencia:
Perelló, L y P. Navia 2023. Conditional cash transfers, electoral turnout, and incumbent support: Quasi-experimental survey evidence from Honduras’ Bono 10,000. Bullitin of Latin American Research. Vol 42 (3): 456-472.
As democracies worldwide have reverted to competitive authoritarian regimes or full dictatorships, some autocrats have used clientelist policies to strengthen their positions of power. We contend that autocrats can weaponise conditional cash transfers (CCTs) to shore up electoral support under democratic backsliding. In this vein, we analyse the impact of Honduras’s Bono 10,000, a discretionary CCT, on the electoral support for the incumbent National Party and opposition blocs between 2013 and 2017, an era marked by the erosion of democracy. Using two survey waves from the AmericasBarometer by the Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP), we show how the CCT boosted the electoral support for the National Party as democracy unravelled. Our findings contribute to the growing literature on how autocrats rely on carrots – not just sticks – to consolidate power.
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